How It Works
Every binary market has only one instrument:- Buying the instrument = betting YES on that outcome
- Selling (shorting) the instrument = betting NO on that outcome
- There is one instrument: “Team A wins”
- Go long (buy) = you think Team A will win
- Go short (sell) = you think Team A will lose (Team B wins)
Buying vs Shorting
Buying (Going Long)- You pay the current price (e.g., $0.70)
- If the outcome happens, you receive $1.00
- If the outcome doesn’t happen, you receive $0.00
- Maximum profit: $1.00 minus purchase price
- Maximum loss: your purchase price
- You receive the current price (e.g., $0.70)
- If the outcome happens, you pay $1.00
- If the outcome doesn’t happen, you pay $0.00
- Maximum profit: sale price
- Maximum loss: $1.00 minus sale price
For more details on shorting mechanics, see the Shorting chapter.
Synthetic No Position
There are no separate “No” shares to trade. Instead:- To bet NO on an outcome, you short the instrument
- Shorting creates a synthetic NO position
- The profit/loss works exactly as if you owned a NO share
Key Points
- Each market has one instrument per outcome
- Buy to bet YES, short to bet NO
- There are no separate YES and NO tokens
- Prices reflect the market’s implied probability of the outcome